Saturday, March 2, 2024

Best NBA Bets Today – Free Picks for Thursday, March 23

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This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

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Best Bets

Spencer Dinwiddie over 2.5 turnovers (+115) vs. Cavaliers

DraftKings, 2:06 PM CT

Alex Barutha: The Cavaliers are forcing the most turnovers in the NBA (18.5 DTOV%) by a significant margin over the past month, and Dinwiddie has been the most turnover-prone player on the Nets lately. During the same stretch, the point guard is handing over 2.6 turnovers per game, so I like getting plus money on him going slightly over his average against an aggressive defense.

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Mikal Bridges O26.5 PTS+REB vs. Cavaliers

DraftKings Sportsbook, 1pm CT

Nick Whalen: Bridges went under this number in Tuesday’s meeting with the Cavs, but he also went an uncharacteristic 0-of-8 from beyond the arc. Prior to that game, he’d gone over 26.5 in four of his last five appearances, so I like his chances to go over with even a marginally better shooting night. Bridges continues to play heavy minutes with a nearly 31 percent usage rate over his last eight games.

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Immanuel Quickley over 12.5 points at Orlando (-110)

FanDuel, 4:30pm ET

Ken Crites: This is based on the expectation that Jalen Brunson doesn’t play tonight. Brunson injured his hand in last night’s loss to Miami and is now questionable for tonight’s second leg of the back-to-back. Quickley’s minutes jump up 14 more per game when Brunson is out. He’s also averaged 13.6 ppg this season and 17.0 ppg over his last 16 games.  Yes, he’s coming off a five-point stinker against the Heat.  But tonight they face a Magic squad that ranks 17th in points allowed per game. Miami plays better D.  Brunson is a week removed from missing five games due to a foot injury, so skipping the back-to-back seems wise.  Hey, I’m a modest 24-21 on the season, so feel free to fade.

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