Tuesday, November 28, 2023

Chiefs vs. Eagles odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 174-125 roll

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Kansas City Chiefs coach Andy Reid will try to stay perfect against his former team when the Philadelphia Eagles visit Arrowhead Stadium for Monday Night Football in NFL Week 11. Reid is the all-time leader in coaching victories with the Eagles and is tied for that honor in Kansas City. He has been to four Super Bowls, winning two with Kansas City. The Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 in February’s big game. The Eagles (8-1) come into Monday Night Football with the NFL’s best record, but the Chiefs (7-2) have won all four meetings with Reid calling the shots.

Monday’s kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The SportsLine consensus lists the Chiefs as 2.5-point favorites in its latest Chiefs vs. Eagles odds, and the over/under for total points is 45.5. Before you make any Eagles vs. Chiefs picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Eagles vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. Eagles:

  • Chiefs vs. Eagles spread: Kansas City -2.5
  • Chiefs vs. Eagles over/under: 45.5 points
  • Chiefs vs. Eagles money line: Philadelphia +122, Kansas City -145
  • PHI: Eagles are 15-17 ATS as underdogs since the 2018 season
  • KC: Chiefs are 15-11-2 ATS in non-conference games since 2018
  • Chiefs vs. Eagles picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Chiefs vs. Eagles live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Chiefs can cover

Reid is 31-6 in his career in games following a bye, and the Chiefs are 7-8 against the spread in such games since he took over in 2013. Kansas City has covered the spread in all four meetings under his command. The Chiefs’ offense has struggled at times, but Philadelphia’s defense ranks 28th against the pass (257 yards per game). Patrick Mahomes is sixth in the NFL with 2,442 passing yards and has rushed for 248, throwing 17 TD passes and eight interceptions.

The Eagles have allowed 19 passing touchdowns, third-most in the NFL, and intercepted just four passes, tied for second-fewest. Tight end Travis Kelce, who had six catches for 81 yards and a touchdown in the Super Bowl, remains Mahomes’ go-to target. Kelce has 57 catches for 597 yards in 2023. The Chiefs allow 15.9 points (third in NFL) and 288 yards (fourth) and are tied for third in sacks with 31, led by George Karlaftis (six), Chris Jones (5.5) and Mike Danna (5.5). See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Eagles can cover

Philadelphia’s offense is loaded with stars, led by quarterback Jalen Hurts and wide receiver A.J. Brown. Hurts has won 12 straight games against teams with a winning record. He has completed 69% of his throws for 2,347 yards and has 316 rushing yards while accounting for 22 touchdowns. Brown is second in the NFL with 1,005 receiving yards, averaging 15 yards per catch, and has scored six times. The Eagles average 377 yards per game, fifth in the NFL.

The Eagles outgained the Chiefs 417-340 in the Super Bowl and Hurts threw for 302 yards. They have the best defensive front in the league and the unit ranks first in the league against the run and can get after the passer. Opponents average 66 yards per game on the ground and Philly has 100 sacks since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Haason Reddick has 7.5, Josh Sweat has 6.5, and rookie Jalen Carter has four. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Eagles vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting 47 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine

So who wins Eagles vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Eagles vs. Chiefs spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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