Monday, March 4, 2024

Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz Predictions, Player Props & Odds (Feb. 12)

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Golden State Warriors forward Draymond tries to block a shot by Utah Jazz forward Lauri Markkanen

Dec 28, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23) blocks a shot by Utah Jazz forward Lauri Markkanen (23) during the second half at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

  • The red-hot Golden State Warriors visit the Utah Jazz on Monday night
  • Utah is half a game behind Golden State for the #10 seed in the Western Conference
  • See the Warriors vs Jazz predictions, odds, and player props on Feb. 12

Don’t look now, but the Golden State Warriors (25-25, 11-12 away, 26-23-1 ATS) have won four in a row and climbed back into the playoff picture in the Western Conference. On Monday night, the Warriors visit the team they just leapfrogged for the #10 seed, the Utah Jazz (26-27, 17-7 home, 30-22-1 ATS).

Tip-off at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City is scheduled for 6:10 pm MT/8:10 pm ET. The Warriors vs Jazz odds show the game as a pick’em.

Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Golden State Warriors -1.5 (-100) -110 O  241.5 (-115)
Utah Jazz +1.5 (-120) -110 U 241.5 (-105)

Monday’s NBA odds list both Golden State and Utah as -110 on the moneyline. The spread favors the Warriors at -1.5 but with -100 odds. The Jazz are -120 to keep the game within a point. The total between these two fast-paced, high-scoring teams is at 241.5, the second-highest of the ten games on today’s NBA schedule.

Odds as of Feb. 12 at BetMGM. Claim this BetMGM promo code to get $158 in bonus bets for Monday’s NBA games. 

With Saturday’s thrilling 113-112 win over the Phoenix Suns, the Warriors moved back to .500 for the season and half a game ahead of the Jazz for the final postseason berth in West portion of the NBA playoff bracket.

Warriors Rebound From Heartbreaking Loss in Atlanta

Twelves of Golden State’s losses this season have either come in OT or by four points or fewer. That trend continued on Feb. 3 in Atlanta when the Dubs dropped a 141-134 OT decision to the Hawks. But their latest heartbreaking loss seems to have been the catalyst for a turnaround. Golden State is 4-0 since with three double-digit road wins (109-98 at Brooklyn, 131-109 at Philadelphia, and 131-109 at Indiana) plus a last-second home win over Phoenix, sealed by this Steph Curry three.


As has been the case for the past decade-plus, Curry has been the biggest reason for Golden State’s success. The two-time MVP  is averaging 45 points over the past five games and is shooting exactly 50% from beyond the arc. Curry hasn’t ascended into the top-ten of the NBA MVP odds yet this season, but expect that to change if he maintains his recent form.

Secondary scoring from Jonathan Kuminga (15.6 PPG, 4.7 RPG) has been massive.  The 6’7 forward is averaging 21.3 PPG during Golden State’s win streak, making up for the fact that Klay Thompson hasn’t reached the 20-point plateau since Jan. 27.

Jazz Have Two-Game Win Streak Broken at Phoenix

Losers of six of eight from Jan. 18 to Feb. 1, the Jazz busted out of that slump in a big way with a pair of home wins over NBA title contenders: 123-108 vs Milwaukee on Feb. 4 and 124-117 vs OKC on Feb. 6.

That mini two-game win streak ended last time out, though, with a 129-115 setback at Phoenix.  The Suns took a 12-point lead after the first quarter and the Jazz were never closer than three in the final 36 minutes, continuing a stark home/road discrepancy for the Jazz, who are 17-7 at home and 9-20 on the road.

Concerningly, Utah needed to overcome double-digit halftime deficits in the wins over Milwaukee and OKC, capitalizing on tired teams playing at altitude.

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Utah continues to rank in the bottom half of the league in both Offensive Rating (115.7, 16th) and Defensive Rating (118.1, 24th), and their -2.1 point differential is only 12th in the West.

GSW vs UTA Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Andrew Wiggins (GSW) 12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 4.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) OFF 0.5 (Ov -215 | Un +165)
Collin Sexton (UTA) 19.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 2.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 1.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130)
Draymond Green (GSW) 8.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 6.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) 6.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 0.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
John Collins (UTA) 16.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 8.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) OFF 1.5 (Ov +140 | Un -180)
 Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 0.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110)
Klay Thompson (GSW) 15.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130) 2.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) 2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105)
 Kris Dunn (UTA) 6.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov +114 | Un -145) 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 0.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105)
Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 23.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF 3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -145)
 Steph Curry (GSW) 29.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) 4.5 (Ov -180 | Un +140) 5.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)

Player props from the DraftKings Sportsbook app.

Curry, who’s scored at least 30 points in six of his past nine games (including a 60-point outburst in an OT loss to Atlanta on Feb. 3), is listed with the highest point total at 29.5 in the NBA player props for Golden State vs Utah. Markkanen is the highest of the Jazz players listed at 23.5, followed by Sexton at 19.5.

Warriors vs Jazz Prediction

This might be one of the last chances bettors have to buy low(ish) on the Warriors. Their play over the last four games is indicative of a corner turned. If Curry continues to play like a legitimate NBA MVP contender and Draymond Green can keep himself on the court, the Warriors still have the pieces to make a playoff run (notwithstanding the very real declines of Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins).

Utah has been excellent at home most of the season, but their play is noticeably slipping of late. This is a one-off road game for the Warriors, so they won’t be bringing tired legs to the Delta Center like the Bucks and Thunder.

GSW vs UTA pick: Warriors moneyline (-110) – two units

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

  • 16-16 moneyline (+3.49 units)
  • 10-10-2 ATS (-0.59 units)
  • 7-12 player props (-5.82 units)
  • 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise. 


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