Wednesday, December 6, 2023

Is Spencer Dinwiddie’s Assist Run Sustainable? (March 23)

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As the NBA season progresses, bettors are constantly on the lookout for value in the betting lines. In this article, we will break down three NBA betting picks and analyze the reasons why each bet might be a good choice. Here are the best NBA bets for Thursday, March 23.

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Jonas Valanciunas Over 28.5 Points + Rebounds (-120, DraftKings)

While Valanciunas’ minutes have been inconsistent this season, he has logged 34, 33 and 28 minutes over his last three games. He is facing the Charlotte Hornets, who rank 21st in defensive rating and give up the second-most rebounds and seventh-most points to opponents on the season.

The matchup gets even better for Valanciunas because the Hornets have given up the most rebounds and the second-most points to opposing centers on the season. This becomes even more significant given that Mark Williams has been out of the lineup since early March. Over his last three games, Valanciunas has scored 39, 33 and 34 points + rebounds. Thus, Valanciunas should have an opportunity to continue his excellent performance against the Hornets tonight.

Spencer Dinwiddie Under 9.5 Assists (-140, FanDuel)

While Dinwiddie has been dishing out assists at a high rate, the Cavaliers present a tough challenge. Cleveland is ranked No. 1 in defensive rating and 30th in pace. Moreover, the Cavs allow the fewest assists to opponents of any team in basketball. While Dinwiddie recorded 11 assists in the previous meeting against the Cavaliers, NBA Bet Pro has the under at a 65% expected win rate and a 13% ROI. Therefore, the under on Dinwiddie’s assists could be a good pick.

Nick Richards Under 9.5 Rebounds (-125, FanDuel)

Richards has some potential, but he needs to finish with single-digit rebounds to go under. Richards is facing an elite rebounder in Valanciunas, whose minutes have recently increased. Furthermore, Richards’ minutes are already volatile. It’s possible that Kai Jones will get more run as the backup and P.J. Washington will close at center. Richards has gone under 10 boards in three of five games since Williams went down, but the Pelicans are a good rebounding squad and Valanciunas is one of the better offensive rebounders in the game

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