Check out our free Knicks vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Knicks vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: New York Knicks at Miami Heat
- Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
- Date: Wednesday, March 22nd
- Betting Odds MIA -2, NY +106 | MIA -127 O/U 221.0
The Knicks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 42-31. So far, the team has gone 41-31-1 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
The Knicks are coming off a disappointing 140-134 loss to the Timberwolves. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 8 points. New York was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Timberwolves by 6 going into halftime. In the loss, Julius Randle led the team in scoring with 57 points on a field goal percentage of 65.5%.
So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 39-34, while going 27-44-2 vs the spread. Looking back on Heat’ previous 3 games, they have a record of 2-1 while averaging 116 points per game. Over this stretch, their ATS mark is 2-1.
In their previous game, the Heat took down the Pistons by a score of 112-100. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 10 point favorites. Miami went on to win the game, as they led by 5 heading into halftime. In the win, Jimmy Butler led the team in scoring with 26 points on a field goal percentage of 72.7%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Knicks picked up the win 106-104 win over the Heat. Heading into the game, New York was the 3.0 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Knicks have a record of 2-0 vs the Heat. Similar to their season-long average, the Knicks averaged 102.33 points per game vs the Heat. Similar to the Knicks, the Heat scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs New York, the team averaged 109.33 points per game. Although the Knicks have the better ATS mark across the previous 5 head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Miami, as they averaged 110 points per game while allowing 107. The over-under record in these same games is 3-1-1, with the teams combining for an average of 217 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
This season, the New York offense is ranked 14th in the NBA in scoring at 115.4 points per game. One area that the New York offense is finding success, is their ability to get to the free-throw line. So far, the team is averaging 19.7 made free-throws per contest. New York is a strong candidate to see their overall offensive numbers improve, as not only are they a good outside shooting unit, but they do a good job taking care of the ball, ranking 3rd in fewest turnovers per game.
Against the Heat, the Knicks will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 6th ranked unit at 106.6 points per game.
On offense, Julius Randle leads the Knicks in scoring at 25.6 points per game, placing him 18th in the NBA. Overall, Randle has hit 46.1% of his shots while accounting for 21.0% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 13th in points allowed to power-fowards. At 23.8 points per game, Jalen Brunson is the 2nd leading scorer for the Knicks. For the season, he is 42nd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 48.7%.
For the season, the Heat offensive unit is ranked just 30th in scoring at 109.0 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.7 made 3’s per game. If Miami continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 29th in the league in possessions per game.
So far, the Heat have played well defensively, as they are ranked 4th in the league at 105.57 points per contest.
This season, the Heat offense has primarily worked through Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 68 games, Adebayo is 44th in the NBA at 21.1 points per game. So far, him and Butler have accounted for 34% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 43.8 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jimmy Butler is grabbing 6.1 rebounds for Miami to go along with 5.1 assists.
Knicks vs Heat Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Heat -2
- Free Total Prediction: Under 221.0