Monday, March 4, 2024

Over The Odds 25/3/2023 – Saturday’s Horse Racing Value Tips and Bets

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Ladbrokes have got their markets out for racing this Saturday, and we have tried to find four runners that appears overs in betting.

Rosehill Race Five Number 16 Kalino ($9.00):

Kalino should appreciate a rise to 1200m. He ran in the Maurice McCarten and to the eye, it was just a run, but given the race shape, he really had no chance of figuring in the finish, so I am very forgiving of the run behind Cannonball. Much better set up this time around and I reckon the edge off the track is ideal for him to bounce back.

Rosehill Race Eight Number 9 Cleveland ($9.00):

I am stunned that Cleveland wasn’t closer to favourite in early markets. He is a very good stayer for Joseph O’Brien that comes here with an eye towards the Sydney Cup and potentially the Melbourne Cup later in the year. His form from overseas reads very well for a race like this, he’s in a gun camp, dry ground is fine, he’ll be strong late…I just think, all things equal, he’s one of the hardest to beat.

Rosehill Race Nine Number 6 Diamil ($11):

Each way gamble for me here in the shape of Diamil. He resumed in the Ajax and given the way the track played, he was no hope of figuring in the finish, but actually did a pretty good job to finish off as well as he did behind Cepheus. He maps to settle much closer in the run this time around and with a good second up record, bit of cushion in the ground, I like him here.

Flemington Race Eight Number 4 Cardinal Gem ($8.00):

Like Cardinal Gem here. He resumed over 1200m here three weeks ago down the straight and was very good I thought in restricted room late in the piece behind Sessions Road, getting held up at a bad stage. Good second up record, should love the rise to 1400m and with J Childs getting back on, he makes plenty of appeal against this lot.

 

*Existing customers only. 2nd Racing bet. Excl SA & WA. T’s & C’s apply. Gamble responsibly.


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