Monday, March 4, 2024

Tom Lunn’s Wednesday racing tips for Lingfield, Ludlow, Haydock and Kempton

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talkSPORT have you covered for the horse racing with tips and free bets for the day’s fixtures at Lingfield, Ludlow and Kempton.

Tom Lunn has gone through the race cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.

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Lingfield betting tips

1.35: Julia Augusta 9/2 each-way (2pts)

It seems worth siding against the favourite who by all accounts had a fairly weaker Class 4 handicap to win last time out at Newcastle.

There’s a few who look capable of taking this but certainly those with some finishing power.

And for Julia Augusta she has that potential based on her wins to date, but also as she’s stepping up to 1m2f for the first time.

Now she is the top-weight but was a very good sixth place in listed company here in November and followed that up just a couple of weeks later coming a neck second in a Class 2 at Kempton and could have won had she not been carried left towards the final few yards.

2.10: Aratus 3/1 (1pt)

Aratus has a few things going for him coming into this 7f contest.

He’s had just three runs on the all-weather with the latest being a significant improvement, coming a length second to Mount Athos in a Class 2 handicap.

He steps down in class here which should help but he remains on a dangerous mark having been rated as highly as 102 in April 2022.

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Add to that potential improvement from getting used to his wind surgery two runs ago back in March, he could be a big price for these reasons under Jim Crowley for the first time.

Ludlow betting tips

1.25: Stellar Magic 14/1 each-way (1pt)

Taking a bit of a risk with Stellar Magic for a trainer, Billy Aprahamian, who has a 10% strike-rate with chasers this season.

But Stellar Magic, on his first run for this yard placed third at 28/1 and that was on his first attempt over fences.

He ran to a decent level over hurdles and might even be a better chaser based on that first effort.

He’s suited to these kind of trips and has handled soft well before so worth an each-way bet at least. Especially with James Bowen deployed on board this time.

2.35: Galice Macalo 7/2 (1pt)

Makes a return to hurdles after starting out this season over fences and it’s not quite going right in that discipline.

But she’s knocked down a couple of pounds that suggests she could make the most of that low mark, especially after going for a wind surgery in August which could have caused the issues when she was 5lb higher from March to April in three finishes far back in the field.

She’s got a great chance if returning to form that she showed in a Grade 2 hurdle just 11 months ago just fourth behind Epatante.

This looks a fairly weak Class 2 Mares Handicap hurdle and as such she should be the best suited to take it up.

Kempton betting tips

7.30: Majestic Pride 5/2 (NAP – 2pts)

William Buick heads to Kempton for a few rides on a few decent chances for Godolphin, rather than Lingfield for a couple of rides.

But there has to be a big load of confidence in this favourite who already is the top of the market in this listed race ahead of the likes of Tempus and Positive Impact at just three-years-old after just four runs.

He was gelded in July and there’s a real confidence behind this horse who placed very close in fourth place at Newmarket last time, and already has an all-weather win to his name from his second career start, at Chelmsford.


P+L from 09/10/23: +28.37pts

Profit+Loss from 10/07/23-08/10/23: +73.37pts

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All odds correct at time of writing

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